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SVG may take some time to replace legacy proprietary formats like .swf, vml, etc., but it has *many* advantages and will ultimately prevail. See the detailed, objective comparison at http://www.carto.net/papers/svg/comparison_flash_svg.html
Funny, this article doesn't mention (or maybe I missed it) the Batik project? http://xml.apache.org/batik/
One of the great things with SVG was that the Batik and Adobe implementations were both solid and each implemented the majority of the spec. One got the feeling that the Adobe SVG team and the Batik team were working together to help each other conform to the spec: something unheard of back in the days of the browser wars, when Microsoft and Netscape would resort to proprietary extensions.
Hopefully companies such as Macromedia and Microsoft will learn from this effort and begin to truly support this robust XML standard.
Microsoft has done quite well with XSLT (finally) but their support of XML should not be so selective: SVG is a robust standard that represents the ideal standards-based replacement for VML. Hopefully it is a good sign that at least VML development has not been moving forward.
If Macromedia fails to support SVG they are making a huge mistake.
Over time standards will win out: XML is extremely powerful when used to describe vector graphics, and I believe the spread of SVG will be faster than you predict.
Max
http://www.svgfaq.com/
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